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5 DaysPetroleum project economics and risk management

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Course Objectives

This highly interactive and scenario-based training programme will enable you to apply a structured approach to project justification, investment appraisal and decision-making in the upstream petroleum business.

What you will learn

  • how to apply economic and risk management evaluation tools for oil and gas project proposals
  • how to identify and quantify key uncertainties during field development and full life-cycle economics
  • how to calculate the economic and financial viability of expenditure proposals projects under risk conditions
  • how to develop a structured approach to measuring, managing and combating commercial risk
  • how to assess the ranking of alternative projects
  • how to prepare convincing project proposals in a way that will win management, partner and government approval
  • how to improve project and business outcomes

Training method

Over half of this course comprises practical exercises, case studies, and industry-based scenarios, for which you will need your own laptop with Microsoft ExcelTM pre-installed.  Prior knowledge of spreadsheet techniques is assumed, and you will be able to retain for future reference all project examples created during the course.

Who Should Attend?

This workshop is aimed at delegates with little or no previous project investment appraisal experience.  Recent attendees have included:

  • Explorationists and petroleum/reservoir engineers
  • Refinery and petrochemical plant managers
  • Asset managers, project managers and facilities engineers
  • Information systems managers and project leaders
  • Management accountants, finance and contracts specialists
  • Government and advisory executives
  • Service/supplier company personnel

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Course Content Summary

Basic concepts

  • Identifying project cash flows and sources of information

 

How to calculate project benefits and interpret the answer

  • Project payback
  • Net Present Value (NPV)
  • Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and the cost of capital
  • Profitability Index (PI)
  • Strengths and limitations of each method

 

Project ranking - how to choose the best alternative

  • How to optimise expenditure

 

How to deal with inflation and with exchange rates

 

Taking account of taxation

 

Accounting measures versus economic measures

  • Understanding other financial criteria for decision making
  • Balancing short term versus long term business objectives

 

Dealing with risk and uncertainty

  • How to identify and quantify project risks and uncertainties
  • Sensitivity analysis
  • How to draw and interpret spider and tornado diagrams
  • Calculation of maximum exposure as a risk measure
  • Decision trees and the calculation of Expected Monetary Value (EMV)

Economics, risk and decisions - decision points are risk points

  • Decision points for oil fields and gas fields
  • Risk and probability definitions and concepts
  • Risk identification, measurement and management
  • Forecasting as risk management
  • Assumptions, sensitivities and risk premiums

 

Exploration and appraisal decisions, uncertainty, risk and exposure

 

Monte Carlo simulation

 

Economic models and spreadsheet design

 

Development decisions

  • Workscope definition and options
  • Decommissioning economics and risks
  • Cost estimating and contingencies
  • Financing options
  • Construction contracts

 

Further development decisions and economic cut-off

 

Preparing convincing project proposals

 

Post-project appraisal

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Location Duration Dates Cost (GBP) Venue  
Dubai 5 days 26.09.10 - 30.09.10 £2,490.00 Towers Rotana Book Now
Kuala Lumpur 5 days 25.10.10 - 29.10.10 £2,490.00 Crowne Plaza Hotel Book Now
Aberdeen 5 days 15.11.10 - 19.11.10 £2,490.00 + vat = £2,925.75 Skene House Rosemount Book Now
London 5 days 06.12.10 - 10.12.10 £2,490.00 + vat = £2,925.75 The Hatton Book Now
Perth WA 5 days 21.03.11 - 25.03.11 £2,590.00 Holiday Inn City Centre Book Now
Dubai 5 days 17.04.11 - 21.04.11 £2,590.00 Towers Rotana Book Now
Aberdeen 5 days 09.05.11 - 13.05.11 £2,590.00 + vat = £3,043.25 Skene House Rosemount Book Now
Kuala Lumpur 5 days 09.05.11 - 13.05.11 £2,590.00 Crowne Plaza Hotel Book Now
London 5 days 20.06.11 - 24.06.11 £2,590.00 + vat = £3,043.25 The Hatton Book Now
Dubai 5 days 18.09.11 - 22.09.11 £2,590.00 Towers Rotana Book Now
Kuala Lumpur 5 days 24.10.11 - 28.10.11 £2,590.00 Crowne Plaza Hotel Book Now
Aberdeen 5 days 14.11.11 - 18.11.11 £2,590.00 + vat = £3,043.25 Skene House Rosemount Book Now
London 5 days 12.12.11 - 16.12.11 £2,590.00 + vat = £3,043.25 The Hatton Book Now

”Learned a lot about myself and how to improve my negotiation skills.”

Sameh Sabry - RWE DEA

"This is the most significant training I have attended on petroleum industry business and will go back to my office with a better understanding…."

Sanga Coulibay - CNR International